Checking The Odds

Sportsinteraction weighs in this morning with their take on the state of the election: STATES Florida - Bush 1.90; Kerry 1.80 Iowa - Bush 1.83; Kerry 1.83 Minnesota - Bush 2.10; Kerry 1.66 Nevada - Bush 1.72; Kerry 2.00 New Hampshire - Bush 2.00; Kerry 1.72 New Mexico - Bush 1.83; Kerry 1.83 Ohio - Bush 1.72; Kerry 2.00 Wisconsin - Bush 1.83; Kerry 1.83 OVERALL Popular Vote - Bush 1.83; Kerry 1.83 Presidency - Bush 1.61; Kerry 2.20 SPECIALS Supreme Court Intervenes for any reason - 6.00 Election Postponed for any reason - 26.00 Electoral College Tie - 34.00 Either Candidate Withdraws - 100.00 (all odds current as of 8:30AM EST on October 21st) So what does this bookie like? I have refused to bet on Kerry's outright victory in fear of jinxing the proceedings, though those odds are pretty tempting given the toss-up state of the race. At this point I will hold out for some more polls until I lay down a series of $20 bets, but for now I particularly like Kerry in New Hampshire and Ohio at these prices. Florida still scares me, I am resigned to think the Bushies will find a way to take it again. Care to put your money on your work in Nevada? And on that note, how does this analysis stack up to what you are seeing on the ground? Sounds like campaigning/canvassing in Reno and then getting out the vote in Vegas might be your game plan... I imagine you have already had the crash course on Yucca mountain. Lay on!