Not only are we going to New Hampshire, Peter Beinart...

The thing about the Beinart analysis is that it's done with the wrong hindsight. I wasn't exactly thrilled with the choice made by Democratic primary voters in the end, but it's pretty galling for Beinart to say "Democratic voters should stick to their day jobs," when: A) New Hampshire voters had already seen the Dean scream in Iowa and knew how the media would spin it; B) nobody at the time knew how Iraq would unfold, and at least Kerry gave them a bit of a crutch if it got better, while Dean was a one-note candidate; C) if it wasn't flip-flopping for Kerry, it would have been some other character issue for Dean -- something nobody has come up with but that surely Dr. Rove has concocted in his evil laboratory, or wherever he comes up with that stuff. In reality, Kerry has weathered all of the challenges to his flawed candidacy pretty well. The 'wrong-track' and job approval polls show that voters are ready for a change, so at least the Kerry campaign has accomplished that much. Dean would have been destroyed on 'do you trust this man to be your president', in my opinion, with constant reminders of that scream and that little button in the Oval Office that nukes China. Let alone the lefty stuff. You're right though: it's too early for hindsight anyway. -------------------- I'm going to have to place some bets. 236 at those odds?!??!? You've obviously checked out the permutations on the electoral vote tracker. Kerry's got 234 in the bag. If any of: New Hampshire, Maine, Wisconsin, West Virginia, Ohio, Nevada, New Mexico, Iowa OR Florida go Blue -- and surely ONE of them will -- money in the bank.